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Economic Survey 2025: Inflation in India Between April to December at 4.9%

Economic Survey 2025

Finance Minister Nirmala Sitharaman presented the Economic Survey today i.e. on 31 January. According to this, GDP growth is estimated to be 6.3% to 6.8% during FY26 i.e., 1 April 2025 to 31 March 2026. Whereas retail inflation increased to 4.9% in April-December 2024.

The Economic Survey is presented a day before the Budget. It contains many information including estimates of country’s GDP and inflation. This shows what is the condition of our country’s economy. The Department of Economic Affairs prepares it.

Economic Survey 2025

Economic Survey 2025

The economy is expected to grow at a pace of 6.3% to 6.8% in 2025-2026. The survey says that to make India a developed India by 2047, there will be economic growth at the rate of 8% for the next one to two decades.

Retail inflation was 5.4% in 2023-2024, which increased to 4.9% in April-December 2024. Inflation is expected to decline in the fourth quarter. Food inflation increased due to disruption in supply chain due to bad weather and low yield.

The survey says that the conditions of the labor market have improved in 7 years. The unemployment rate fell to 3.2% in FY24. At the same time, the net payroll in EPFO ​​has doubled in the last 6 years, which is a good sign of employment in the organized sector.

The rapid development of AI is not only creating new opportunities in the global labor market, but also creating significant challenges. There is a need to minimize the adverse effects of changes caused by AI.

India needs investment in infrastructure for rapid growth in the next 20 years. In the last 5 years, the government has focused on physical, digital and social infrastructure. Public funding alone will not meet these needs, so private participation will have to be increased.

The biggest risk facing Indian markets is related to America. The survey shows high possibility of correction in the American market. This may have an impact on the Indian stock market, especially retail investors.

Inflation rate fell to 4 months low in December

Due to cheaper food items, retail inflation fell to a four-month low in December. According to government data, inflation has come down to 5.22%. Earlier in November the inflation rate was 5.48%. Whereas 4 months ago in August, inflation was at 3.65%.

Food items contribute about 50% to the inflation basket. Its inflation has decreased from 9.04% to 8.39% on month-on-month basis. Whereas rural inflation has decreased from 5.95% to 5.76% and urban inflation has decreased from 4.89% to 4.58%.

The Economic Survey: A Financial Diary for the Nation

Economic Survey 2025

We live in a country where the number of middle class people is very high. A diary is made in most of our homes. Keep complete accounts in this diary. After the end of the year, when we look back, we find out how our house fared? Where did we spend? How much did you earn? How much did you save? Based on this, we then decide how we want to spend in the coming year. How much to save? How will our condition be?

Economic survey is just like the diary of our house. This shows what is the condition of our country’s economy? The Economic Survey contains the accounts of the past year and mentions suggestions, challenges and solutions for the coming year. The Economic Survey is presented a day before the Budget.

Economic Affairs is a department under the Finance Ministry. There is an economic division under it. This Economic Division prepares the Economic Survey under the supervision of the Chief Economic Advisor i.e. CEA. Presently the CEA is Dr. V Ananth Nageswaran.

This is necessary in many ways. In a way, Economic Survey acts as a direction for our economy, because it shows how our economy is doing and what we need to do to improve it.

The government is not bound to submit the survey and accept the suggestions or recommendations made in it. If the government wants, it can reject all the suggestions given in it. Still, it is important because it gives an account of the economy of the past year.

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